Monday, March 3, 2008

Face value predictions

Some people say that when looking at what will happen next in world events that we can simply look at what leaders have said and done already and take what has been said at face value. Basically this is Occam’s razor, that the simplest solution is the most likely. So rather than enter into the discussion weather the simplest answer is the most likely, lets take a look at a few things that have happened or things that people have said and see what the future may hold.

In October 2005 Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmdinejad said Israel must be wiped off the map. Now some have said this is a bad translation but he said this at “The World Without Zionism” conference. In January of 2007 Ahmadinejad said that the United States and Israel will soon come to an end. And in the past few days the Iranian president called Israel a dirty microbe.

In February of this year the commander of Iran’s revolutionary guards predicted that Hezbollah would soon destroy Israel by radiation therapy. Syria recently said they would have revenge for the assassination of Imad Mughniyah for which they believe Israel was responsble.

Iran continues to enrich uranium for a nuclear program which it says is for peacefull purposes even though they have no apparent need for nuclear energy. It makes me wonder what they mean when they say peacefull purposes. Iran has said they expect an attack on their nuclear facilities. And Israel and the US have said they would not allow Iran to go nuclear. Israel has a history of backing up their word when it comes to this. Israel has attacked nuclear facilities in Iraq and Syria. Iran said if there nuclear facilities were attacked they would respond more decisively.
These are just pieces of the puzzle but at face value it appears that we can expect a larger war with Israel and her allies against Iran and her allies and proxies

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